Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.146712 0.175127 0.207108 0.245700 0.290938 0.342213 0.404664
2025-04-20 0.107778 0.144911 0.191428 0.253683 0.334491 0.435465 0.570798
2025-04-27 0.091243 0.133936 0.191779 0.275214 0.391693 0.547613 0.771029
2025-05-04 0.077153 0.121911 0.186646 0.285986 0.433186 0.641542 0.956586
2025-05-11 0.063434 0.107117 0.174112 0.282740 0.452400 0.704579 1.104151
2025-05-18 0.051445 0.092412 0.158743 0.271880 0.457272 0.745319 1.221374
2025-05-25 0.041672 0.079356 0.143564 0.258384 0.455101 0.773485 1.320418
2025-06-01 0.036840 0.073901 0.139965 0.263134 0.482550 0.850533 1.504214
2025-06-08 0.030893 0.065284 0.129415 0.254025 0.484712 0.885334 1.620670
2025-06-15 0.027887 0.061748 0.127483 0.259984 0.513756 0.968194 1.826554
2025-06-22 0.024854 0.057603 0.123721 0.261822 0.535132 1.039189 2.017737
2025-06-29 0.021686 0.052601 0.117491 0.257873 0.544795 1.089434 2.175419
2025-07-06 0.018816 0.047899 0.111508 0.254308 0.556192 1.146730 2.357425
2025-07-13 0.017257 0.045949 0.111139 0.262563 0.592743 1.256612 2.652505
2025-07-20 0.016868 0.046730 0.116889 0.284797 0.660935 1.435466 3.100102
2025-07-27 0.015730 0.045419 0.117643 0.295919 0.706552 1.573093 3.477730
2025-08-03 0.013860 0.041832 0.112449 0.292568 0.719826 1.645003 3.726950
2025-08-10 0.011836 0.037400 0.104456 0.281355 0.713786 1.675101 3.890721
2025-08-17 0.009981 0.033037 0.095894 0.267418 0.699501 1.685492 4.012530
2025-08-24 0.009186 0.031628 0.094841 0.272324 0.730827 1.800233 4.374531
2025-08-31 0.007927 0.028519 0.088661 0.262917 0.725750 1.831450 4.551301
2025-09-07 0.007376 0.027549 0.088301 0.269071 0.760543 1.958514 4.959131
2025-09-14 0.006739 0.026155 0.086495 0.270969 0.784547 2.062156 5.321267